From the live shows to the finale, I will be making in-depth predictions about the acts that are likely to go home.
This is the explanation of my method (it might be changed/updated in the future, so stay tuned!):
1) Performance (scored from 0/5 to 5/5)
The X Factor isn’t just a singing competition, it’s a competition to find the best recording artist and the performance that is most entertaining.
Getting a 5/5 doesn’t only mean singing wonderfully; it involves being unique, entertaining, sellable, and having the X Factor. Cheesy I know. If a performance gets a 5/5, I can guarantee to you that the act will be safe from elimination.
I don’t think it’s possible to get a 0/5, unless the performer forgets the lyrics and doesn’t sing a single note properly.
2) Fan base (from 0/5 to 5/5)
Twitter is an accurate estimate of the acts’ number of fans. This is because the primary voting audience (young people) commonly uses twitter to interact with and keep in contact with their favourite contestants.
Also, as people can vote via twitter, having a large fanbase is very important.
In American Idol 2011, Scotty McCreery had the highest number of twitter followers and managed to win the entire show. The same goes for Melanie Moore, the winner of SYTYCD 2011.
As of right now, the people with the most amount of followers on twitter are Drew and Astro.
3) Other
This is for anything else I missed, such as sympathy votes, the awww factor, etc…
Note: I will not be taking performance order in to account. After the first 2 or 3 shows, the order that the act performs is no longer as relevant as it is in the first shows because the audience will have decided on a favourite act and will vote for them no matter what.
